In this paper, a local 𝑀-estimation for the conditional variance function in heteroscedastic regression models under stationary α-mixing dependent samples is developed. The local 𝑀-estimator is ...
We propose a new combined semiparametric estimator, which incorporates the parametric and nonparametric estimators of the conditional variance in a multiplicative way. We derive the asymptotic bias, ...
The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) estimator is widely used to forecast the conditional volatility of short-horizon asset returns. The EWMA estimator is appropriate when returns are ...
The AUTOREG procedure can produce two kinds of predicted values for the response series and corresponding residuals and confidence limits. The residuals in both cases are computed as the actual value ...